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The
Circuits of the Future
In
building smaller, faster, and cheaper computers, Yale's engineers
are battling both cost and physics.
November
1999
by Bruce Fellman
The Second
World War had no sooner ended in the fall of 1945 than the U.S.
Army unveiled its newest innovation
-- ENIAC, or Electronic and Numerical Integrator and Computer. The
device was designed to calculate missile trajectories, and though
what was dubbed the "giant brain" worked as advertised, it was hardly
the sleek machine that has become such a ubiquitous part of modern
society.
The world's
first electronic computer was huge. It filled several offices at
the University of Pennsylvania with a tangle of thousands of vacuum
tubes and miles of wire, and for all this, the best ENIAC could
manage was what historian Scott McCartney calls "sophomoric calculations
at Model T-like speeds."
Today's
computers, of course, vastly outperform that original model, and
they do so with integrated circuitry the size of a fingernail. But
while putting five million transistors on a single computer chip
is certainly a technological tour de force, it is already yesterday's
news.
"The
trend for the past half century has been towards smaller, faster,
more powerful, more reliable, and cheaper computers and circuits,"
says Tso-Ping Ma, a professor of applied physics and electrical
engineering. "We're trying to figure out how to make this trend
continue."
At Yale,
the work is headquartered in the applied physics and electrical
engineering laboratories of the Becton Engineering and Applied Science
Center. Researchers there aren't actually making computers; rather,
they're helping to develop the next generations of components -- the chips, transistors, diodes, switches, and the like -- that will
go into the ENIACs, and other advanced electronic devices, of the
future.
This
is potentially high-payoff science. The computer industry is huge,
generating hundreds of billions of dollars annually in revenue,
and it is hugely competitive. Up to this point, both the industry
and university and government researchers have also been hugely
successful in coming up with solutions to the technological challenges
that have threatened to block progress. Indeed, says Ma, who, like
many of his Yale colleagues, is a frequent consultant to a variety
of companies, the industry has done such a good job that had automobile
manufacturers done as well, "the average car would now cost 16 cents,
have a top speed of 25,000 miles per hour, get 1,500 miles per gallon,
and seat 400,000 people."
This
is impressive, but then again, the average car doesn't crash at
least once a day -- an unfortunate experience well-known to most
computer users -- so there is clearly more work to do. While cyber-airbags
for Apples and IBMs would be a boon, the main challenge for Yale
researchers and others lies in developing new techniques of miniaturization
and determining how to deal with their often-unforeseen consequences.
"Our eventual goal is to be able to control and manipulate single
molecules and atoms," says theorist Douglas Stone, who chairs the
applied physics department.
But getting
to that point is proving to be a hugely expensive endeavor. As components
shrink well out of sight (transistors are now commonly less than
a millionth of a meter long) the cost to equip a laboratory capable
of investigating what goes on at this almost unimaginable size can
easily top a million dollars.
Yale,
in recent years, has equipped a number of such labs. In the Becton
Center, "clean rooms" that are about as dust-free as any place on
the planet provide the setting for the manufacture of experimental
computer chips. Scanning tunneling microscopes take portraits of
molecules, an ultra-high-tech "spray painter" creates circuits that
are no more than two dozen atoms thick, and, inside a freezer in
which temperatures hover just above absolute zero (about 460 degrees
below zero on the Fahrenheit scale), scientists are learning how
to listen to individual electrons.
That
Yale has been willing to pay the kind of price to stay at the frontier
of a discipline known as low-energy physics seems proof that the
dark days of engineering and applied physics at the University are
finally history. In late 1991 and early 1992, the Committee
on Restructuring the Faculty of Arts and Sciences responded to ballooning
deficits with a controversial proposal to selectively trim, reshape,
or even eliminate selected academic departments. Under the restructuring
plan, which was championed by then-President Benno C. Schmidt Jr.,
the engineering disciplines were among those targeted for major
cuts in both staff and budget. But a near revolt by faculty members
scuttled the overall proposal, and in 1995, President Levin calmed
lingering fears of Becton Center scientists when he promoted the
"goal of assuring Yale a position at the forefront of engineering
education and research."
A year
later, in a document called "Preparing for Yale's Fourth Century,"
Levin used the term "selective excellence" to describe the central
principle that would guide the University's development (Yale
Alumni Magazine, Dec. '96). Faced with very real budgetary constraints,
Yale would concentrate its intellectual firepower in areas that
were likely to yield high returns. "Our strength here is truly by
design," notes Mark Reed, the Harold Hodgkinson Professor of Electrical
Engineering and Applied Physics and the chairman of the electrical
engineering department. "We add people to our group very carefully."
Building
a team of physicists and engineers capable of addressing the concerns
of the computer industry would certainly seem like a good investment.
Consumers are always demanding that next year's computers process
more information than the machines they currently own. But more
than fulfilling the desire to crunch a bigger spreadsheet or play
a more advanced version of "Quake" or "Duke Nuk'em," computers have
become an indispensable part of the effort to understand and manage
the world. And while calculating a missile trajectory is a relatively
easy task these days, the ability to create on-screen, for example,
a realistic model of the world's weather systems in order to predict
the impact of global warming, or of the human brain to determine
whether a new drug will work, takes considerably more computing
power than even the fastest machines currently possess.
While
having to improve computers seems like a given to all save the most
committed Luddites, precisely how to do the job is getting less
and less certain. "We've made tremendous progress over the past
half century," says Mark Reed, who came to Yale from Texas Instruments
and who works in molecular computing, a futuristic research effort
aimed at solving a problem that lurks over the near-term horizon.
"However, as we look at our requirements ten or more years down
the road, we have to admit that we really don't know how to make
the components we project we'll need. We're going to hit a technological
wall."
When
the computer was first developed, one of the biggest hurdles researchers
faced was dealing with bugs -- literally, moths that were attracted
to heat from the vacuum tubes and would cause short circuits. In
1947, scientists at Bell Labs invented the transistor, a so-called
solid-state device that, like a vacuum tube, could serve as a gate
through which electrons could pass. Flying insects had scant interest
in transistors, which were also more reliable and smaller (the first
ones were about the size of a cold medicine caplet) than tubes,
and by the end of the 1950s, researchers had begun to use them in
computers.
To these
machines, the world is nothing more than strings of 1's and 0's -- carefully regulated pulses of electrons that turn transistors
on and off. The faster this can happen, the more information a computer
can process, and over the years, scientists have become adept at
finding new ways to shrink transistors and pack more and more of
them into the increasingly sophisticated brain -- technically known
as a microprocessor -- of the computer.
"All
these incredible advances that we've seen over the past quarter
century have been primarily due to our ability to make devices smaller
and smaller by a process called photolithography," says Reed. "Basically,
you start with a block of material -- in computers, it's silicon -- and with a light beam, you whittle away."
With
the most advanced photolithography techniques, it is now possible
to create transistors that are ten million times smaller than the
original models. But it will be exceedingly difficult to make the
shrinkage continue.
The cost
of creating computer chips is already formidable; a fabrication
facility to make the current generation costs about $1.5 billion.
This figure could easily double or triple in the future. Silicon,
the very stuff of the information revolution, is close to its limit
in terms of the speed with which it can allow electrons to travel.
Photolithography carving tools can only carve so small, and the
lower limits are almost within sight. And in this ultra-Lilliputian
world in which computer makers must now navigate, there are strange
and sometimes unpredictable currents that arise from fundamental
laws of physics.
Yale
researchers have taken up different aspects of the challenge. T.P.
Ma, for example, is trying to extend the performance limits of silicon,
which begins to have operating problems when the transistors created
in the material shrink ten- to one-hundred-times smaller than those
currently in production. At this tiny size, which the scientific
ruler measures in billionths of a meter (a nanometer), an odd thing
happens. A component of the transistor that normally served as an
insulator begins to fail. As a result, electrons that had been kept
in check by the insulator can now tunnel through the transistor.
The electrons disappear, the gates -- the proxies for the 1's and
0's of computer code -- no longer open and close the right way,
and the flow of information is disrupted.
"When
we identified the electron tunneling problem in 1994, there was
no known solution," says Ma, "and we wondered: Could we find a material
that was still thin, but which would make electrons think
it was thick, and so prevent the tunneling effect?"
The tricky
insulator turned out to be an chemical offshoot of silicon known
as silicon nitride. "We're now in active collaborations with major
semiconductor companies, including IBM, Motorola, Texas Instruments,
and Intel," says Ma, adding that transistors fabricated from this
material should start appearing in computer circuitry by 2003.
Ma's
colleague, Jerry M. Woodall, the C. Baldwin Sawyer Professor of
Electrical Engineering and Applied Physics, works with silicon as
well, but Woodall, who came to Yale last year from Purdue and IBM,
also deals with more exotic materials that seem to outperform silicon
in small-scale circuits. "At least in the relatively near-term -- say, the next five to ten years -- components might not actually
have to get much smaller if we take a materials approach to improving
chip speed," says Woodall.
Showing
off a brand-new, $865,000 machine that can "spray paint" exotic
substances onto silicon wafers in individual layers one atom thick,
the scientist talks about his latest find, a material known as indium
arsenide. Transistors and other circuitry built from this substance
through a process called molecular beam epitaxy might not be the
ultimate answer, says Woodall. "But we think we can get electrons
working at least one hundred times faster and still keep components
in size ranges we currently know how to handle."
Eventually,
however, the shrinkage will continue, and as it does, the challenges
will intensify. Take the effect on wire, for instance. To tie microcircuits
together will require wires that are one thousand times skinnier
than a human hair. Daniel Prober, a professor of applied physics,
developed a technique in the mid-1980s that would eventually enable
him to make "nanowires." At 50-billionths of an inch in diameter,
these are among the thinnest in existence for use in real devices,
and so far, they've proven valuable in a way that has little to
do with computers.
Stars
emit many different kinds of radiation, and scientists have learned
a considerable amount about the universe by developing tools that
can detect and analyze these emissions, which are often just faint
whispers in space. Certain types of microwave radiation have been
difficult to hear, but scientists are keenly interested in listening.
"Microwaves
can give us important information about the birth and death of stars,"
says Prober. With a grant from NASA and the National Science Foundation,
the scientist turned one of the nanowires he'd created into a microwave
detector, and the device he invented -- the diffusion-cooled superconducting
hot-electron bolometer -- will soon be flying in a 747 which the
space agency plans to use as a high-altitude observatory to pick
up these "little squeaks" that provide insights about the workings
of the universe.
Robert
Schoelkopf, an assistant professor of applied physics, has also
turned his work in "nanoscience" toward the detector business. "We're
making single-electron transistors, and among other things, these
are proving very useful for picking up and amplifying certain kinds
of extremely weak signals from outer space," says Schoelkopf.
However,
the scientist didn't undertake this line of research with the intention
of providing a boon for the radio astronomers with whom he once
worked. Rather, the single-electron transistor was simply the logical
end point of the miniaturization trend.
Even
at their current minuscule size, transistors regulate the flow of
thousands of electrons, says Schoelkopf, adding that what
goes on in this tiny landscape works in accordance with the principles
set down by physicists during the last century. But as computer
circuitry shrinks from "micro" to "nano," classical physics -- the
physics of everyday experience that describes everything from the
way a light bulb works to the operation of the on-off switch on
a toaster -- no longer applies.
The reason
lies in a branch of physics known as quantum mechanics. In the millionth-of-a-meter-and-larger
size range, "quantum weirdness," as scientists from Einstein on
down have termed these strange effects, is hidden, but in the billionth-of-a-meter
size range that circuit makers are now beginning to explore, "the
design rules go haywire," says Schoelkopf.
Take
Ohm's Law, for instance. This fundamental axiom about electricity
likens the flow of electrons to the way water runs through a pipe:
If you double the voltage, you double the current. In the quantum
world, however, "this no longer applies," says Schoelkopf. "There's
interference between the electrons, so the current could actually
go up or down."
This
kind of variability is not what chip makers want in a circuit. "We're
experimenting with novel electronics like single-electron transistors
to understand what happens in the quantum realm," says Schoelkopf.
"We'll need these answers if we're ever going to succeed in operating
commercially viable quantum-scale devices."
In a
laboratory whose walls are sheathed with four layers of copper to
ward off radiation that may come from other parts of Becton as well
as from outside cell phones, Schoelkopf cools the tiny transistors
he's made to near absolute zero. At such low temperatures the circuits,
which are actually not much smaller than conventional models, "behave
according to quantum rules," says the scientist.
Using
this approach, the researcher and his collaborators at Yale and
at Chalmers University in Sweden have been able to make single-electron
transistors that work one thousand times faster than those currently
available. But though these advanced SETs have astounded the scientific
community and are going to be used by astronomers as very sensitive
amplifiers, Schoelkopf cautions, "Don't look for this technology
to show up in your laptop computer anytime soon."
Or, cynics
might add, maybe ever. It is one thing to create a few nanocircuits
and investigate the implications of life in the ultrasmall lane;
it is quite another to mass-produce such components in computers
that are cheap enough for people to afford.
When
Mark Reed, himself a pioneer in nanostructure development, confronted
this dilemma, he realized that "our fabrication technologies just
weren't going to win. A facility to make the next generation of
microchips is estimated to cost a few billion dollars, and you have
to sell a lot of chips to recoup your investment. Beyond that generation,
it gets worse."
Much
worse. With the nanoscale electronic components of the more distant
future appearing to be too expensive, or simply impossible, to create,
Reed went looking for a novel fabrication approach. He found it
in a beaker. "Our new strategy is this: Don't chisel away with photolithography;
instead, do clever chemistry so that molecules with the right properties
will assemble where you want them," argues Reed.
What
the scientist proposed doing has been suggested before, but it had
a distinctly checkered past because molecular scale "self-assembly"
proved more hype than reality. In the last few years, however, Reed
has given the strategy a good name. "We've done the science, and
we're developing self-assembled devices that actually work -- in
some cases, better than their solid-state counterparts," he explains.
So far,
Reed and his students have created, in a beaker, diodes, which are
one-way doors for current, and a molecular switch. "These are not
things you'll be able to buy at your local Radio Shack in the near
future," he says. "But we hope to be building components for specialized
applications within the next several years."
The prospect
of pouring carefully selected and custom-designed molecules into
a glass jar and having them assemble themselves into highly sophisticated
computer chips is clearly a long way off. And as to Reed's belief
that such a self-assembled device would be able to be "schooled"
in problem-solving skills, well, that remains in the realm of science
fiction.
But so,
at the advent of the ENIAC era, were today's personal computers.
"On the road to the revolutionary, you first have to do the mundane,"
says Reed. "Our results are surprising a lot of people and paving
the way to the computers and electronic devices of the future."
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